ࡱ> 241_ hbjbj 4bbhLL SUUUUUU$LByySSP/ ?0TyyL l: Modern Econometric methodology and its Development (Ping Zong)AbstractToday econometrics has been widespread applied in empirical study for economic problems. Understanding of econometric methodology is a crucial departure for econometrics. This presentation provided a brief review of modern econometric methodology and its development since 1930s. The core of the review was to show how modern statistical methods, in particular, the modern concept of statistical error and probability in econometrics, are verified to be scientific, how it provided a scientific method for quantitative analysis of economic phenomena and, how this method more precisely captured the reality. The review also introduced a few new sophistic methods in time series modelling as well as discussed the main issues in current research, aimed at addressing the methodological research in econometric modelling not only is a science but also is an art. Finally, offered my personal thoughts on how econometricians might best be trained in a university, what was we should teach our students and on some issues broadly related to the challenges facing for econometricians in the future.Note:Total time of the presentation: One and half hourSlides of the presentation: EnglishLanguage of speaking: Chinese2 B D H f  - O T u } ~ 𰡕~m_mQm~m_QmQmQmQm~htBCJOJQJ^JaJhtCJOJQJ^JaJ hZhtBCJOJQJ^JaJ-hZhtBB*CJOJPJQJ^JaJph# htBCJOJQJaJhZhtBCJOJQJaJh6@CJOJQJRHxaJh.G@CJOJQJRHxaJh$@CJOJQJRHxaJh{@CJOJQJRHxaJh6@CJOJQJRHxaJ3 CDgh$a$gd6$a$gdtB$d3$5$]^`a$gd6$d3$5$]a$gd6$d3$5$]a$gdL X  2 6 )-UXfghõõõçh3, hZh.GCJOJQJ^JaJhr@CJOJQJ^JaJh.GCJOJQJ^JaJhtBCJOJQJ^JaJ hZhtBCJOJQJ^JaJ-hZhtBB*CJOJPJQJ^JaJph# 'htBB*CJOJPJQJ^JaJph# 21h:p3,. A!"#$% j 666666666vvvvvvvvv666666>6666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666hH6666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666666662 0@P`p2( 0@P`p 0@P`p 0@P`p 0@P`p 0@P`p 0@P`p8XV~ OJPJQJ_HmH nHsH tHX`X 6Normal1$7$8$H$$CJOJPJQJ_HaJmH sH tH Z@Z 6 Heading 1@&^`CJ"OJQJ^JaJ"DA`D Default Paragraph FontRiR 0 Table Normal4 l4a (k (0No List PP 6Heading 1 CharCJ"OJPJQJ^JaJ"tH PK![Content_Types].xmlN0EH-J@%ǎǢ|ș$زULTB l,3;rØJB+$G]7O٭V$ !)O^rC$y@/yH*񄴽)޵߻UDb`}"qۋJחX^)I`nEp)liV[]1M<OP6r=zgbIguSebORD۫qu gZo~ٺlAplxpT0+[}`jzAV2Fi@qv֬5\|ʜ̭NleXdsjcs7fW+Ն7`g ȘJj|h(KD-dXiJ؇(x$( :;˹! I_TS 1?E??ZBΪmU/?~xY'y5g&΋/ɋ>GMGeD3Vq%'#q$8K)fw9:ĵ x}rxwr:\TZaG*y8IjbRc|XŻǿI u3KGnD1NIBs RuK>V.EL+M2#'fi ~V vl{u8zH *:(W☕~JTe\O*tHGHY}KNP*ݾ˦TѼ9/#A7qZ$*c?qUnwN%Oi4 =3N)cbJuV4(Tn 7_?m-ٛ{UBwznʜ"Z xJZp; {/<P;,)''KQk5qpN8KGbeSd̛\17 pa>SR!3K4'+rzQ TTIIvt]Kc⫲K#v5+|D~O@%\w_nN[L9KqgVhn R!y+Un;*&/HrT >>\ t=.Tġ S; Z~!P9giCڧ!# B,;X=ۻ,I2UWV9$lk=Aj;{AP79|s*Y;̠[MCۿhf]o{oY=1kyVV5E8Vk+֜\80X4D)!!?*|fvu"xA@T_q64)kڬuV7 t '%;i9s9x,ڎ-45xd8?ǘd/Y|t &LILJ`& -Gt/PK!ѐ'theme/theme/_rels/themeManager.xml.relsM 0wooӺ&݈Э56?$Q,.aic21h:qm@RN;d`o7gK(M&$R(.1r'JЊT8V"AȻHu}|$b{P8g/]QAsم(#L[PK-![Content_Types].xmlPK-!֧6 0_rels/.relsPK-!kytheme/theme/themeManager.xmlPK-!0C)theme/theme/theme1.xmlPK-!ѐ' theme/theme/_rels/themeManager.xml.relsPK] h  h h8@0(  B S  ?jjj'o $r@.GIYsrtLttB@Kz{3,6{hj@hX@UnknownG.Cx Times New Roman5Symbol3. .Cx Arial7.@Calibri[TimesNewRomanPSMS Mincho9NewAsterA$BCambria Math"qh4Dg4Dg  r0ff 3QHX $P62!xx zongppin pinOh+'0px   zongp Normal.dotmpin pin3Microsoft Office Word@^в@zN/@/՜.+,0 hp|  ONS f  Title  "#$%&'(*+,-./03Root Entry F /5Data  1TableWordDocument4SummaryInformation(!DocumentSummaryInformation8)CompObjr  F Microsoft Word 97-2003 Document MSWordDocWord.Document.89q